The Academy Awards are just three weeks away, and with the ceremony right around the corner, a race for one of the most prestigious Oscar categories might already be over.
The category is Best Director and Alfonso Cuaron is the heavy favorite in the final stretch for his movie “Roma.” This week, in my second of four Academy prediction columns, I’ll give more context on the matter, plus some other award guesses.
- Alfonso Cuaron for “Roma.”
- Yorgos Lanthimos for “The Favourite.”
- Spike Lee for “BlackKklansman.”
- Adam McKay for “Vice.”
- Pawel Pawlikowski for “Cold War.”
Who will win: On Feb. 2, the Cuaron won the Directors Guild of America award for feature film and solidified his stance as the frontrunner for the Oscar. In addition to the DGA honor, Cuaron also won in the directing category at the Golden Globes and Critics’ Choice Awards.
The DGA win remains the top indicator, though. Besides a few exceptions, the DGA winner has often gone on to win the directing Oscar. In the last decade, for example, the DGA winner earned the directing Oscar every year except for 2012. With that in mind, I’m 99.9 percent sure Cuaron will win.
Who should win: I’d have no qualms with Cuaron winning, as “Roma” was a fantastically well-crafted feature. However, Lanthimos winning for “The Favourite” would be a nice surprise, too.
Snubbed: Bradley Cooper unfortunately missed out on getting a nomination for “A Star is Born.” While it was his directorial debut, Cooper made a strong film and was more deserving in my view than McKay for “Vice.”Best Film Editing
- Barry Alexander Brown for “BlackKklansman.”
- John Ottman for “Bohemian Rhapsody.”
- Yorgos Mavropsaridis for “The Favourite.”
- Patrick J. Don Vito for “Green Book.”
- Hank Corwin for “Vice.”
Who will win: While its reception has been mixed in the film community, “Bohemian Rhapsody” has picked up a lot of award season momentum in the past several weeks. One strong area for “Rhapsody” is its editing and if the Academy wants to give it a prize, this category would make sense. It’s even more likely after the film recently picked up an award from the American Cinema Editors society.
Who could win: All things considered, though, this is a very tight race and I could see “Vice,” “BlackKklansman,” or “The Favourite” win the Oscar.
Who should win: Of the nominees, “The Favourite” was my favorite film, so naturally I’d be most pleased with this winning. However, when looking at all of the movies strictly for this category, they all had solid editing.Best Cinematography
- Lukas Zal for “Cold War.”
- Robbie Ryan for “The Favourite.”
- Caleb Deschanel for “Never Look Away.”
- Alfonso Cuaron for “Roma.”
- Matthew Libatique for “A Star is Born.”
Who will win: This is another category where Cuaron is the overwhelming favorite for the Oscar. If there’s one thing mostly everyone can agree on about “Roma,” it’s that the cinematography was absolutely gorgeous and is well deserving of all the accolades. It might be the shock of the night if Cuaron loses this category.
Next week, I’ll be tackling all of the other categories except for Best Picture and the screenplay awards.