The American dream is still alive, but in peril
There's a lot of rage out there in the electorate, as everybody knows, but I think some of it is displaced fear that working hard doesn't guarantee prosperity anymore.
This was expressed to President Barack Obama's face in his televised town hall Monday by a recent law school graduate who told him: "Like a lot of people, I was really impressed by your campaign and message ... That inspiration is dying away. It feels like the American dream is not attainable to a lot of us."
Most media outlets reporting on the U.S. Census incomes report last week focused on the deplorable fact that one in seven Americans -- 43 million -- lived below the poverty line in 2009.
But the Wall Street Journal had the right headline to explain the generalized experience of average Americans: "Lost Decade for Family Income."
The median income of Amer-ican families in 2009 was $49,777, below what it was in 1997.
The story of America is that, except during recessions, in-comes rise. The median fami-ly income was $40,108 in 1967. It was $43,758 in 1977; $47,071 in 1987 and $49,309 in 1997. It got up to $52,338 in 1999. It's been falling back ever since.
Americans are an optimistic people and they have always had a right to be. They still are -- but less so.
A Pew Research Center poll this year found that 64 percent of Americans pronounced themselves optimistic about their family's life, 61 percent about America's future and 56 percent about the U.S. econo-my over the next 40 years. But those numbers are down from 81 percent, 70 percent and 64 percent in 1999.
Short-term attitudes are much more downbeat. A Gal-lup poll this month showed that 84 percent think we're still in a recession and 47 percent think it's not improving.
Instead of figuring out together what to do, politic-ians would rather blame each other and stick to their ideol-- --------ogies.
Democrats want more government-funded stimulus packages and continued tax cuts for the middle class even though the national debt is nearing 100 percent of GDP, the highest since World War II.
Republicans want to extend tax cuts for everyone -- especially the wealthy -- even though the census numbers show that income disparities are as great as they've been since the 1920s, and growing. Cutting domestic spending would add to the woes of those at the bottom.
So what to do? There ought to be both long-term and short-term solutions. One (rel-atively) short-term step might be creation of a national infra-structure bank that would use its lending authority to encourage private investment in roads, railways, air traffic control and waterways.
The American Society of Civil Engineers estimates that the country needs to spend $2 trillion to bring its infrastructure up to acceptable standards. Governments can't afford such outlays, but well-structured bank loans might unleash the trillions that private companies are sitting on -- and reduce the unemployment rate.
For the long-term future, the only certain answer is to vastly improve U.S. education so that Americans can compete with foreigners who work for lower wages.
The College Board's just-issued "Education Pays" report showed that the median income for Americans with bachelor's degrees in 2008 was $55,700; for those with associate degrees, $42,000; for high school graduates, $33,800; and for those without a high school degree, $24,300, a mere $2,000 above the U.S. poverty line.
The Obama administration, following the lead of the George W. Bush administration, has made dramatic strides toward reforming elementary and secondary education, with nearly 40 states signed on to the administration's challenge to raise standards in a "race to the top."
Countless examples exist in the country of both public and charter schools that prove low-income children can achieve.
The fact that four movies are in circulation promoting education reform -- notably, "Waiting for Superman" -- is evidence that the movement has support.
Higher education needs more serious attention. The Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce found that between 1973 and 2008, the portion of U.S. jobs requiring post-secondary education grew from 28 percent to 53 percent and will climb to 63 percent by 2018.
Only 39 percent of adults in the U.S. have an associate degree or better, according to the Lumina Foundation, which promotes college completion. The U.S. once had the highest college completion rate in the world. Now, we're 14th.
Lumina's goal -- also the administration's -- is to raise the postsecondary degree rate to 60 percent by 2025. That will require producing 150,000 more graduates each year.
Obama has tried to make college more affordable, but his $12 billion "race to the top" proposal for higher education was converted by Congress to a $2 billion program to help workers dislocated by trade.
A movement is developing to match quality improvement in higher education to that in K-12, but it's nowhere near as far along and is meeting resistance from institutions unwilling to release data on graduation rates and employment results.
Forty-seven nations have joined a program known as the Bologna Process to implement common standards for what university graduates should learn. Nothing like that exists in the United States.
If Americans are beginning to think hard work doesn't guarantee prosperity anymore, the only answer is more hard work to invest in both physical and human resources -- and a government that isn't caught up in partisan paralysis.
Morton Kondracke is execu-tive editor of Roll Call, the newspaper of Capitol Hill.